Ray, Alan,
thanks for your replies.
We have tested the dump/restore procedure with a few smaller databases and it worked fine. We had a few smaller hiccups with the large database as it required a few modules and special tablespaces before it would start actually copying data. But not a real problem, a test-upgrade is currently running.
We will use this upgrade-cycle to systematically test and evaluate all upgrade options.
We have an "if-all-else-fails"-full plain dump that we just restored testwise. In this case to see performance but we regularly restore it to make sure it actually works. The file is compressed with rar. Packed size is about 100 GB, unpacked about 1 TB. Uncompressing alone on a decent machine (256GB Ram, 12 Core) took about 1 day. Importing via psql took about 12 hours (fsync off, wal_segments adjusted, etc.).
Currently we are running the direct pg_dump / pg_restore upgrade from a slave that we just took off wal-replication. As it is progressing i am expecting something in the 12-15 hour range.
Finally we will try the pg_upgrade-option on a test-slave. I expect that to be quite fast as it more or less just needs to copy the data once and correct/adjust system tables, if i am not mistaken. So that should take about as long as it takes to copy 1 TB of data plus the table-adjustments.
Fortunately we can use the weekend to freeze the database so the reduced-downtime that might be achieved by the slony-approach is not a true requirement and we can avoid the complexities of that approach.
Thanks,
Frank