OK, figured this out. I had it start copying the pg_xlog directory as well when doing the initial sync. I realized this is also the first time I've setup replication from scratch using 9.2. All my other 9.2 pairs were setup on either 9.0 or 9.1, and have been upgraded from there with replication already in place. Previously, and still according to that article in the wiki, the pg_xlog directory was specifically excluded. Does anyone know why this behavior may have changed?